Estimating your position after a ETH move
You only need your capital and the percentage move — the tool derives the target price from the 2,471 USDT reference price.
Use a positive number for a rally and a negative number for a drop, e.g. 20 for a 20% ETH gain, -30 for a 30% decline.
ETH price-move formulas
current price × (1 + % change)capital × (1 + % change)position value − capitalWorked ETH scenario
With 1,000 USDT of capital at a 2,471 USDT reference price: a 20% gain to 2,965.2 USDT is worth 1,200 USDT (+200 USDT), while a 20% drop to 1,976.8 USDT leaves only 800 USDT (−200 USDT).
Why drawdowns in ETH are asymmetric
A 50% fall from 2,471 to 1,235.5 requires a 100% rally just to get back to even. Deeper drawdowns on larger positions need disproportionately bigger recoveries.
Price scenario table
| Price move | Target price | Position value | P&L | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -50% | 1,235.5 | 500 USDT | -500 USDT | -50.00% |
| -20% | 1,976.8 | 800 USDT | -200 USDT | -20.00% |
| +20% | 2,965.2 | 1,200 USDT | 200 USDT | +20.00% |
| +50% | 3,706.5 | 1,500 USDT | 500 USDT | +50.00% |
Based on the 2,471 USDT reference price and 1,000 USDT capital; fees excluded. A 50% drop needs a 100% rise to recover.
FAQ
If ETH rises 20%, what happens to my position?
Position value = capital × 1.2. With 1,000 USDT that is 1,200 USDT, a gain of 200 USDT, equivalent to a move from 2,471 to 2,965.2 USDT (fees excluded).
How much must ETH recover after a drop to break even?
Required gain = drop ÷ (1 − drop). After a 50% decline you need 50% ÷ 50% = 100% to return to the original price.